Examining The Impact of Socioeconomic Factors on Transportation: Empirical Evidence from Egypt 1980-2020

نوع المستند : تجاریة کل ما یتعلق بالعلوم التجاریة

المؤلف

كلية النقل الدولي واللوجستيات- الاكاديمية العربية للعلوم والتكنولوجيا والنقل البحري

المستخلص

Transportation facilitate mobilization that is a main need for human daily life transferring people or goods both locally and internationally. Transportation is fundamental for economic activities and social development as found by literature, which stressed on the importance of studying this relationship also in the opposite direction. The current study is investigating the effect of socioeconomic variables on transportation using air transport employing vector error correction model (VECM). Two models are estimated, investigating socioeconomic variables (employment, income and population) impact on air passenger transport at first model in addition to cost or airfares using oil prices and infrastructure, and impact on air freight in second model in addition to customs as control variable and cost or freight rates. The analysis found that income and population have positive significant impact at both models, cost has negative impact at both models, employment is significant only at first model, customs have negative significance impact at second model and infrastructure has positive impact at first model. The results suggest reduction and stabilization of air fares and freight rates and customs, also, results show the importance of infrastructure development.

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